...is raised by Katabasis in this post.
According to the Lisbon treaty, which is now in force, if any one of the member states is attacked then every member state is obliged to come to their defence.
Argentina are threatening to attack the Falklands again. That's British territory. If they do, then every EU member state is obliged by Lisbon to send troops to the Falklands and defend it. I wonder if anyone has told Argentina this?
I suspect Argentina knows it and have already contacted other EU states concerning the matter. The answer they get will determine what they do next. They have not left themselves with an easy back-out route so to save face, if nothing else, they are very likely to try invading the Falklands again.
Labour have left the British military so underpowered that it would be impossible for us to defend the place ourselves. Barry O'Blimey has already declined to be bothered with us. All we have left is the EU and the Lisbon treaty.
So, if Argentina attack the Falklands, can we expect to see the Dutch, Irish, German, French, Belgian, Spanish and all the rest valiantly sending troops and equipment to defend this British territory? I wonder how their peoples would react to that.
Or can we expect 'Oh, we'd like to help but it's so far away it doesn't really count as EU, and besides, we're busy. Try next door.'
If Argentina attack the Falklands, it will be make or break time for the EU and my money is firmly on 'break'. Everyone who has wholeheartedly supported this ridiculous and expensive waste-generating enterprise is going to look very silly indeed. If the EU will not help defend British territory overseas, how can we believe they would help if we were attacked here?
Careful now, Dave. Think before you speak. You're already in the doghouse for that 'cast iron guarantee' and no, we haven't forgotten. You might like to pretend it didn't happen but look again at those polls. There are reasons for that.
If Argentina were to win the Falklands, well I wouldn't want to be part of the EU-supporting party of governance, that's for sure.